Air cargo rates are gradually decreasing from the elevated levels seen due to recent conflicts, according to Freightos. Despite this, ongoing disruptions in the Middle East persist in influencing available capacity and preferred routing options for airfreight.
Capacity offered by Gulf carriers is showing signs of recovery. However, a number of global airlines are still opting to bypass the region, which continues to exert pressure on the overall availability of air cargo space. This situation, combined with persistently high fuel costs and shifts in global capacity, is contributing to the sustained elevated levels observed in the Freightos Air Index.
For freight forwarders and operations managers, this means that while the immediate peak of rate increases may have passed, the market remains sensitive to regional geopolitical events. Capacity in and out of the Middle East, and for routes transiting the region, may still be constrained, leading to potential delays or higher spot rates for urgent shipments. Forwarders should continue to monitor routing options and fuel surcharges closely, as these factors will directly impact pricing and transit times. Diversifying carrier options and booking well in advance for critical shipments through or around the Middle East remains advisable.
