The tanker market in 2025 is expected to face considerable disruption due to a confluence of geopolitical events, escalating trade wars, and the imposition of new sanctions. These elements are likely to introduce significant volatility and uncertainty into global shipping, particularly for crude oil and refined product transportation. The previous year, 2024, was characterized by similar challenges, and 2025 appears to continue this trend.
For freight forwarders and operations managers, this environment suggests potential for increased freight rates, longer transit times due to rerouting, and heightened insurance premiums. Capacity management will become more complex as vessel availability might be affected by diversions or reluctance to enter certain regions. Shippers should anticipate potential supply chain disruptions and factor in geopolitical risks when planning their logistics for the upcoming year.